Maybe the Foresight Exchange can follow what betting sites are doing. Here is an article, albeit from January 2015, about online betting on a Greek exit from the Euro. http://www.valuewalk.com/2015/01/greece-default-odds/
I would really like to see this claim moved from proposed to active. This is an issue that has world wide ramifications, politically and economically.
Individuals in governments, the media, and the business community would be following this claim at the Foresight Exchange.
Is it possible to partially exit the EU? Skimming the Wikipedia article, it appears that Greece and Turkey were initially informally called "associate members". Also, would it be possible to stay in the EU but use a currency other than the Euro, as do the UK, Sweden and several others? If either of these is possible, does the the claim need to reflect how it would be treated? Or does the claim strictly refer to a Lisbon Treaty TEU Article 50 withdrawal?
On Mon, Mar 9, 2015 at 6:56 PM, FX <firstname.lastname@example.org> wrote:
The following claim has been proposed. If you have constructive suggestions for
improving it, please follow-up to this message. Thank you.
owner: 5474 (RonDwyer)
short: Greece exits EU
Greece exits the European Union by December 31st, 2025.